Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.241346 1.448780 1.679772 1.956037 2.277484 2.639754 3.079139
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.906678 1.181950 1.523272 1.977511 2.566362 3.304345 4.300468
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.694764 0.979800 1.361268 1.908955 2.675522 3.711291 5.219443
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.615205 0.924760 1.365488 2.038404 3.040585 4.479691 6.707670
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.508163 0.807323 1.256722 1.980461 3.117890 4.839556 7.650300
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.424298 0.708313 1.155926 1.912005 3.158776 5.136853 8.523018
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.360095 0.628953 1.071644 1.852688 3.198366 5.426936 9.410459
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.324558 0.591065 1.047984 1.887191 3.392771 5.986726 10.811919
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.308631 0.584381 1.075292 2.011342 3.755144 6.872182 12.889600
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.285504 0.560867 1.068847 2.072338 4.009502 7.594609 14.762377
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.261113 0.531219 1.046635 2.099637 4.202245 8.224017 16.536688
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.236266 0.496990 1.010801 2.094734 4.329960 8.741882 18.154509
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.213281 0.464034 0.974553 2.086999 4.456858 9.285236 19.921071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.195481 0.439570 0.952591 2.106453 4.643900 9.976325 22.095053
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.171876 0.399035 0.891406 2.033287 4.622778 10.230006 23.363975
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.167931 0.401910 0.924145 2.171116 5.082812 11.569797 27.206986
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.149566 0.368779 0.872301 2.109418 5.081975 11.891645 28.774421
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.132711 0.336816 0.818875 2.036527 5.044659 12.124469 30.161648
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.118481 0.309258 0.772181 1.973366 5.021812 12.386902 31.653174
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.111520 0.299077 0.766196 2.010105 5.249989 13.277639 34.818456
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.110128 0.303164 0.796174 2.142300 5.737334 14.864443 39.964220
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.105290 0.297374 0.800202 2.207248 6.058385 16.071741 44.279389
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.099147 0.287142 0.791287 2.236315 6.287560 17.069853 48.166871